That's some analysis! You've just ensured that I'll be following the results avidly smile.gif
Unfortunately, there was one fatal flaw. I didn't bother to check that the ITF had their contenders correct in the news article about the Orange Bowl on their website. There is no way Arantxa Rus can be #1, as Noppawan Lertcheewakarn has no points to defend, so her 1082.5 is the real target to beat.
New (simpler, but tougher) rules:
1. If Laura reaches the singles final, she is #1, unless Ana Bogdan wins singles and reaches the semi finals in doubles and does one round better than Laura in doubles.
2. If Laura goes out in the singles semi, she is #1 if she wins doubles and Ana doesn't win singles.
3. If neither of the above apply and Ana Bodgan wins singles, Ana is #1. Otherwise, Noppawan remains #1.
One possible tie remains - Ana WR singles / SF doubles and Laura RU singles / QF doubles.
Oh dear. That's an easy assumption to make though, ITF is usually a more relieable source than most. Probably good that it's simpler though, while there are still enough possibilities to keep it interesting!
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GB on a shirt, Davis Cup still gleaming, 79 years of hurt, never stopped us dreaming ... 29/11/2015 that dream came true!
(2) Laura Robson GBR d. Courtney Dolehide USA 6-2 6-1
Another comfortable win for Laura, as expected, but worryingly her doubles partner Hanna Orlik retired, and Laura may require doubles points in the race for the number 1 spot.
Someone (supposedly in the know) said she was injured after her first match and shouldn't have really carried on further than that. Some sort of abdominal injury by the sounds.
So that means I think one more win from Bogdan will see Laura drop to no.6 in the rankings which means she misses out on a JE into two 50k events next year.
The year-end number 6-10 ranked girls singles players according to the year-end ITF Junior Ranking will be offered direct entry into the Main Draw at three (3) ITF Womens Circuit events up to and including $25,000 prize-money level.
Sad end to a great year for Laura (she and Orlik have given a w/o as expected in the doubles - which clears the path for Heather/Steph, who they would have met in the quarters). The likely drop to 6 is frustrating, as the Junior Exempts into higher valued challengers would have been very useful. Let's hope the injury heals quickly.
One other consequence is that the number 1 spot will be held by someone who has not won a grand slam - surprising, given that grand slam winners gain 500 points and runners-up only 180
Heather and Steph must have lost as they are not on tomorrow's oop. However better news is that Ana Bogdan was double-bagelled by Sloane Stephens in the quarters. Hence Laura can still finish at 5 in the world if Ana does not win the doubles (the top seeds are through to the semis though).