2011 predictions player by player.

indiana · Tennis legend

RE: 2011 predictions player by player.

steven · Tennis legend

Thanks albino.

albino · Intermediate Club Player

Nice work - you didn't need my help really!

Interesting to see how the averages differ - it seems that those of us who only predicted on this were more optimistic for Heather and Naomi C, and less so for Katie and Anne. And I like the general optimism for the men on the other thread!

kundalini · Specialist Reporter + Intermediate Club Player

My predictions were rubbish. Managed to predict 2 retirements but got the names of the players wrong. Naomi Broady seems to be the player who out-performed the predictions on the whole. Bally has also done a bit better than most expected. Far too optimistic on Tara and Mel.

-- Edited by kundalini on Wednesday 26th of October 2011 01:08:57 PM

adz1983 · Intermediate Club Player

LordBrownof wrote:
I wasn't going to predict but actually I'd like to see who posts closest to the reality at the end of the season... Bally - all depends on how she starts the season (and injuries), if she can get through some good matches at the first few events, I'll think she'll keep improving. But with so many new points to defend I don't think there will be much progress on the ranking - 60. Anne - I'm slightly more optimistic with Anne. I do wish she would change her coach though, she needs to take a risk, mix it up a little and try something different. She doesn't win enough of her own service games and she looks shakey under pressure. However, if she can start well I hope we'll see her creep up the ranking again - 80. Heather - the NEW great hope. I'm not convinced she has a game that can scratch the top 20 but I think she'll progress to being a good GB top 40 player. This year though it's as much about individual results as ranking. I think with a good grass court season we could see her in the top 100. I'm going out on a limb and predict 80. Laura - event restrictions limits opportunity. But again, for Laura this year is about big scalps and a good grass court season, not ranking. If by the end of the season she's top 200 that will put her in a great position to assualt the top player come 2012. I hope we'll see her finish 150. Cav - too inconsistent. 200 Katie - lost it, no weapons and too many AO points to defend. 220. Naomi - again, too inconsistent and not showing enough for me. 230. Tara - shame about the funding. If she can stay fit I'm going 200. Mel - who knows, impossible to read, I think she'll make small but positive progress 210.

Not too far off Bally, Anne, Laura and Heather. Lend me your crystal ball I want to buy a Euromillions ticket

RBBOT · Futures qualifying

Some good news in a Tweet from Alexandra Willis today:

Had a little watch of One Direction's biggest fan, @laurarobson5, hitting with Anna Smith. A lot of 'pipe down' chat ;)

Sounds like Anna may be back next year.

jb288 · Satellite level

Great to hear Anna may be back! Hopefully Jos as well sometime....

Slightly o/t, but the competition planners for next year are now up on the LTA site, all tournament values are exactly the same on the womens' side at least, except for the 2nd (Bath) event in March has been downgraded to a 10k from a 25k. Also to note, from the ITF, that the long-lived Sutton 25k is no more - the 2 January 10ks will now be Glasgow & Sutton, with the 25k in Sunderland.

LordBrownof · Futures level

Jos tweeted me a while back to say that she would be back early next year. Trying to get her body fully fit.

goldfish · Futures qualifying

According to her twitter feed Jos had an operation 2 weeks ago 'to remove a fractured bone' (?) in her foot. Don't know how long it takes to recover from this but I wish her a speedy recovery as it would be great to see her back on court.

philwrig · Hall of fame

Maybe a bit late about this, but better late than never as they say. If Albino reads this, I would be greatly indebted if he would be so kind to update with the final rankings as of 26/12.
I think it would be fair to withdraw both Naomi C and Anna S from the final table but keep Katie ( ret ) in it as per the other predictions thread.

albino · Intermediate Club Player

	Elena	Anne	Hev	Laura	Naomi B	Joko	Tara	Mel	KoB	AnnaF	Lisa	ll Players	Top 5
philwrig	24	28	18	23	79	93	41	76	162	165	129	76	34.4
RBBOT	19	53	27	3	94	83	66	21	157	110	244	80	39.2
Kundalini	53	74	2	55	44		66	1	198			62	45.6
LordBrown	24	8	14	22	34	118	116	111	156	230	189	93	20.4
alex03maccy	29	48	58	17	4	128	66	71	157	210	174	87	31.2
Peter too	2	3	4	44	45	126	102	74	117	195	268	89	19.6
jb288	19	8	17	8			116	131	227	210	229	107	13.0
Indiana	24	33	3	8	64	98	66	91	162	155	154	78	26.4
Deano	22	5	2	35	49	110	62	88	146	180	184	80	22.6
Josh	19	13	18	3	84	68	86	71	207	150	114	76	27.4
murray 2k9	16	22	22	23	24	78	136	151	237	260	249	111	21.4
Reeltime	25	14	53	37	7	123	106	61	57	170	94	68	27.2
Kasseldrop	35	36	11	14	17		42	112	142	199	208	82	22.6
SMC	21	24	0	23	59	118	46	71	132	237	239	88	25.4
thegingerlight	3	3	0	33	35	128	116	1	117	270	264	88	14.8
The Knight	9	38	8	12	29		51	31	77	110	134	50	19.2
Padre	14	93	38	47	76	228	121	41	157			91	53.6
Miriambee	38	53	43	27					117			56	40.3
Maza	29	78	13	22	54	113	116	111	152	180	164	94	39.2
Albino	14	13	12	23	74	108	46	41	137	160	214	77	27.2
Smidster	30	4	30	25	64	32	80	34	150	115	201	70	30.6
Steven	11	38	2	8	4	138	116	41	217	210	244	94	12.6
Ave Prediction	19	29	9	3	39	111	84	68	154	185	195	81	19.8

albino · Intermediate Club Player

The table above shows how far out each prediction was, with a red number being an optimistic prediciton and a black number pessimistic. The last 2 columns show an average "distance away" for each participants predicitions. As everyone predicted that Joko, Tara, Mel, KoB, Anna F and Lisa would finish higher than they did, I also did an average of just the top 5 women. Thegingerlightbulb deserves a special mention for predicting 4 players within 3 positions of their final ranking!

indiana · Tennis legend

The table, with it's positive and negative colouring, does really starkly show how well the top 5 have generally done as against our expectations, and how distinctly not so well what were looked on as the next group of players have done. If we take account of Naomi C and Anna S not being there at all ( through retiral and injury ) we have not had anything like what we hoped in the sort of WR 200 to 400 range. Good though to see how, separately from these predictions, Emily W-S and Sam Murray have done, and Eleanor Dean at a lower level. Tara although not advancing as folk had hoped had a very encouraging last 2 or 3 months in 2011.

But certainly the good in 2011 was our top players, who really did have a good year. I think that is what's most important, and swung most folk who responded in the thread about this women's season to consider it to have been a good season and better than 2010.

But let's have more players stepping up to the plate, advancing further or recapturing some of their former form in 2012 !

philwrig · Hall of fame

Thanks Albino !!.
As far as I can see Reeltime is the overall winner for all those that predicted all the 11 players, so congratulations to him.
Yes it was a tough year for the chasing pack, so plenty of work to be done in 2012. There are excuses for JoKo, Anna F and Lisa who had injury problems, but Tara for whom I had the least positive prediction for 2011 does look in a very strong position to make up for it in 2012. Mel to me looks the only real standout disappointment given that she was basically injury free for the whole of 2011.