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Post Info TOPIC: Weeks 3-4 - Australian Open (hard) - women
steven


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Weeks 3-4 - Australian Open (hard) - women
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L128: Elena Baltacha WR 54 v Stéphanie Foretz Gacon (FRA) WR 107 (CH 62 in 2003)

H2H 0-2, both in 3 sets, but back in 2008-9. Winner probably faces Clijsters in R2.

L128: Anne Keothavong WR 73 v Mona Barthel (GER) WR 44 (= CH)

H2H 2-1, all in late 2011 - Barthel won in Shrewsbury, Anne the last two in Linz and Barnstaple

L128: Heather Watson WR 105 v (3) Victoria Azarenka (BLR) WR 3 (= CH)

H2H: 0-1, 1 & 1 at Eastbourne 2010

L128: (Q) Laura Robson WR 134 v (13) Jelena Jankovic (SRB) WR 13 (CH 1 in 2008)

H2H: 0-1, 6-3 7-6(5) at Wimbledon 2010

** Updated with 16 Jan rankings **



-- Edited by steven on Saturday 14th of January 2012 09:04:14 PM

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GB on a shirt, Davis Cup still gleaming, 79 years of hurt, never stopped us dreaming ... 29/11/2015 that dream came true!

GB top 25s (ranks, whereabouts) & stats - http://www.britishtennis.net/stats.html
steven


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Just to quote this from the predictions thread (firstly because it is relevant and secondly because I want to link a tweet to it, so it needs to be near the top of a thread)

RBBOT wrote:

I'm not surprised - a good first round draw in the big tournaments helps a lot at the rankings range our top 4 are at, and last year Bally and Anne had amazing luck, whilst Heather and Laura, well, didn't. Bally didn't face a single seed in a WTA tour/Grand Slam first round until October. I just counted the average ranks of the first round main draw opponents in big tournaments from the four of them:

NameGSPremMPrem5Prem220K100KAverageAverage GS/M/5
Bally130708190129189123100
Anne145  103171193163145
Heather695776501271549968
Laura623559 154 8855

Even with no change in relative skill between them, you would expect the gap to close simply based on an anticipating a more even draw.

Plus ça change ...



-- Edited by steven on Friday 13th of January 2012 12:20:34 AM

Sorry, Steven.  Couldn't resist adding the cedilla to your "ça"! wink



-- Edited by Stircrazy on Friday 13th of January 2012 10:49:00 AM

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GB on a shirt, Davis Cup still gleaming, 79 years of hurt, never stopped us dreaming ... 29/11/2015 that dream came true!

GB top 25s (ranks, whereabouts) & stats - http://www.britishtennis.net/stats.html
goldfish


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Just seen on the BBC site that Anne is playing doubles with ...... Mona Barthel!

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Maza1987


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Only see Bally coming through from those 3.

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murray_2k9


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Grim!! Dont like. Qualifier spots look varied:

Erakovic
Martic
Jankovic*
Clijsters*
Hantuchova*
Pennetta*
Halep
Lisicki*
Minella
U. Radwanska
Errani
Petrova*

Ive put a * by the draws I would want to avoid. 



-- Edited by murray_2k9 on Friday 13th of January 2012 12:20:49 AM

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indiana


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Well, that's about as varied as it gets.

Very good draw for Bally, very awful one for Heather and a rather tough one for Anne. Can't say really far off fair dos overall for R1. Though in R2, Clijsters would no doubt await Bally ( though it would open up rather for Heather  wink ). 

But as shown by RBBOT, via Steven, the draw Gods haven't exactly been sharing the draw luck around the Brits.  Do seem to be determined to try and keep the youngsters under control while being much kinder to their elders    Re the GS R1 draws, it is particularly striking how good Bally and Anne's draws were on average last year rather than that Heather and Laura's were at all really poor on average. Anyway, hopefully Laura gets a decent one if she gets to R1, and Naomi too of course.

Anyway, when you see that table ( I was aware about Bally overall really by the long streak she had of avoiding R1 seeds, but not so particularly Anne ) it looks like Heather and Laura would already be higher ranked comparative to Bally and Anne than they already are with similar draws.  At least this year Laura, all things being well, will be able to generally discount her very low scores, just by volume of tournaments.



-- Edited by indiana on Friday 13th of January 2012 03:10:37 AM

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gjr


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Real shame for Hether but...

Well you never know!

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steven


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Anne may have a 2-1 H2H against Barthel, all recent, but Mona has just upset Kerber to reach the Hobart Final ...

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GB on a shirt, Davis Cup still gleaming, 79 years of hurt, never stopped us dreaming ... 29/11/2015 that dream came true!

GB top 25s (ranks, whereabouts) & stats - http://www.britishtennis.net/stats.html
Reeltime


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steven wrote:

Anne may have a 2-1 H2H against Barthel, all recent, but Mona has just upset Kerber to reach the Hobart Final ...

 Good! Hopefully she's knackered!



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RBBOT


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Mona has just beaten WR 27,32 & 33 in her last 3 rounds.

P.s. For completeness, my table steven quoted excludes one 100k in the Bahamas for which the WTA haven't recorded ranks.

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DavidC


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While Bally obviously has the best draw, I think Anne should be content with hers as well. Barthel may be on a roll, but players making maiden finals just before a Grand Slam often lose first round. If Anne brings her 'A game' to court I expect her to win, especially playing on Monday with Mona having no chance to get used to Melbourne conditions properly. That's a big 'if' though, given the pressure of points defence Anne is under. Hopefully Heather can view her draw with the same positivity as she did against Shazza, and enjoy the lack of expectation.

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steven


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Laura draws Jankovic - the young Brits' dire luck in slam R1 draws shows no signs of ending!

Still, I reckon Laura could give Jelena an even better run for her money this time!

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GB on a shirt, Davis Cup still gleaming, 79 years of hurt, never stopped us dreaming ... 29/11/2015 that dream came true!

GB top 25s (ranks, whereabouts) & stats - http://www.britishtennis.net/stats.html
Smidster


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R1: Laura Robson v (13) Jelena Jankovic (SRB) WR 14
JJ Beat Laura 6-3 7-6 at Wimbledon 2010

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Peter too


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R1: ROBSON, Laura (GBR) Q 133 v JANKOVIC, Jelena (SRB) 13 14

R1: BALTACHA, Elena (GBR) 53 v FORETZ GACON, Stephanie (FRA) 108

R1: KEOTHAVONG, Anne (GBR) 75 v BARTHEL, Mona (GER) 64

R1: WATSON, Heather (GBR) 106 v AZARENKA, Victoria (BLR) 3 3



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Peter too


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The score when Laura played Jelena at Wimbledon in 2010 was 6-3 7-6(5) to Jelena, time for revenge. smile.gif



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