JonH comes home wrote:

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steven wrote:

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JonH comes home wrote:

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TA forecast that Djoko will take the title over Berretini.

In terms of Brits:

Andy, Cam, Ryan, Dan are forecast to win their opening matches - so, 4 wins like the women's side. The percentages suggest 4.6 wins in fact, could argue that is closer to 5!

Dan is rated as the most likely winner with 0.8% chance, Andy is 0.7% and Cam is 0.6%

Andy and Cam are both forecast for the last 16 ,Dan for the last 32. So that would give us 9 wins overall in the mens singles, added to 4 in the womens - 13 overall.

I suspect many of us think there is more chance of wins than TA is forecasting, sorry Jeff, I hope you are proven wrong!!!

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Bookies' odds were a fair bit more optimistic when I checked them on Sunday afternoon. Implied R1 win probabilities as follows:

94%	Cameron - 88% on TA
79%	Andy - 84% on TA
76%	Dan - 81% on TA
76%	Ryan - 73.5% on TA
73%	Jack - 34% on TA (big difference!)
62%	Liam - 48% on TA
53%	Jay - 27% on TA (quite a big difference!)
47%	Alastair - 19% on TA
11%	Paul - 13% on TA

 

 Interesting to compare - here are the bookies odds with TA's forecast against them in your table above.

It looks like Jay, Jack, Ali and Liam are much higher rated by the bookies. Presumably that is a home town advantage thing going on which TA probably wouldnt build into their algorithm? 

-- Edited by JonH comes home on Monday 27th of June 2022 09:02:18 AM

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 andy and Cam both through; Jay looks like losing which will be a tick to TA over the bookies.