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Post Info TOPIC: 2026 - Men's Ranking Prediction Competition


Challenger qualifying

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2026 - Men's Ranking Prediction Competition


1. Jack 5
2. Norrie 20
3. Fearnley 49
4. Fery 110
5. Harris 125
6. JPJ 140
7. Choinski 142
8. Tarvet 200
9. Samuel 210
10. Clarke 220

Sub: Dan E 150



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Masters Series Champion

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As well as the Mr Average and as you were entries, how about seems how we do against AI chatbots? I've done Google Gemini and Microsoft co-pilot. I don't have an Apple device for Siri.

Of course the response is dependent on the prompt it's given and I may have slightly influenced the response with a Specific instruction for ollie T.

I put "Predict the top 10 British tennis players by end of 2026. Give me ATp rankings within a range of 5. Make them realistic based on current ATP rankings and August to November 2025 form. Assume Oliver Tarvet doesn't play until June when he tUrns pro "

Gemini and copilot's response is below. They gave a range and I've selected the mid-point for their entry.

Gemini 's answer was
Predicted Top 10 British Men (Year-End 2026)
Predicted RankPlayerProjected ATP RangeNotes on 2025 Form & 2026 Outlook
1 Jack Draper 7
5 - 10 Solidified his place in the world's elite in 2025 (reaching No. 4 in June).
2 Jacob Fearnley 40
35 - 45 Massive breakout in 2025; shown he belongs at ATP level with multiple GS 3rd rounds.
3 Cameron Norrie 45
40 - 50 Stable veteran presence; likely to remain a consistent top 50 threat.
4 Oliver Tarvet 105
100 - 110 Entering 2026 around #330; projected to tear through Challengers after turning pro in June.
5 Jan Choinski 120
115 - 125 Strong late-2025 form with Challenger titles (Valencia) and high-level consistency.
6 Billy Harris 135
130 - 140 Consistent "workhorse" of the group; steady presence in the top 150.
7 Arthur Fery 150
145 -155 Making steady gains in the Challenger circuit throughout 2025.
8 Charles Broom 165
160 - 170 Broke into the top 200 in 2025; solid results on fast surfaces.
9 Dan Evans 187
180 - 195 Veteran stage; may prioritize doubles or specific ATP events as ranking drifts.
10 Henry Searle 207
200 - 215 The former Junior Wimbledon champ is rising (No. 357 in late 2025) and finding his feet.


Co-pilot responded
RankPlayerPredicted ATP Rank (±5)Notes
1 Jack Draper 11
ATP 6-16Continues upward trajectory after reaching ATP #10 in 2025; likely to break into top 10 again with improved fitness and consistency.
2 Jacob Fearnley 33
ATP 25-40 Huge rise in 2025 (currently ~71); strong indoor form late 2025 suggests top 40 breakthrough.
3 Cameron Norrie 45
ATP 35- 55 Stabilising but declining slightly from #27; still consistent enough for top 50.
4 Arthur Fery 72
ATP 60- 85 Rapid improvement in late 2025; athletic, high - ceiling player likely to break top 100.
5 Billy Harris 92
ATP 75- 110 Solid Challenger results in 2025; should enter top 100 with more ATP level wins.
6 Jan Choinski 110
ATP 90- 130 Steady but limited ceiling; likely to hover around top 120.
7 George Loffhagen 130
ATP 110- 150 Strong Challenger potential; could push toward top 120 with more consistency.
8 Jack Pinnington Jones 145
ATP 120- 170 Big talent but inconsistent; 2026 could be his first full top 150 season.
9 Oliver Tarvet 215
ATP 180- 250 Turns pro in June 2026; only half a season but high level junior pedigree suggests fast rise.
10 Ryan Peniston 220
ATP 180- 260 Injury affected 2025; likely to remain around Challenger level but still top 10 in Britain.

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Tennis legend

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Oh yes, I like that. I'm currently checking all the entries but can add those in. Not allowed to win of course.

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Tennis legend

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Mr Average

1. Jack 14 (35 picks)
2. Cam 28 (36 picks)
3. Jake 61 (36 picks)
4. Jan 120 (32 picks)
5. Arthur 134 (36 picks)
6. Billy 136 (34 picks)
7. Dan 142 (12 picks)
8. JPJ 156 (33 picks)
9. Jay C 158 (25 picks)
10. George 161 (14 picks)
Sub:- Toby S 176 (18 picks)
Also rans;-
Oliver C 183 (16 picks)
(Players with 10 or less picks excluded)



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Tennis legend

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With the four special entries, the final number of entries is 37



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Tennis legend

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Thanks TA! And like the AI entries idea, good stuff.

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Tennis legend

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All predictions now entered into the spreadsheet and checked. Just doing some spot checks before posting the current standings.

(How does JonH manage to come last so easily ?)

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Tennis legend

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the addict wrote:

All predictions now entered into the spreadsheet and checked. Just doing some spot checks before posting the current standings.

(How does JonH manage to come last so easily ?)


 Last at the start is not last at the end! Some would say I come last easily in life as well as this, though! 

presumably my predictions are more out there compared to the current ?



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Tennis legend

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"presumably my predictions are more out there compared to the current ? "

Just a bit different ! Not many points for the WR and a few outsiders who score hardle any GB ranking points

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the addict wrote:

"presumably my predictions are more out there compared to the current ? "

Just a bit different ! Not many points for the WR and a few outsiders who score hardle any GB ranking points


 Am I alone in not bothering about working out at this point what my predictions might score? I just predict and see where it lands at season end - a strategy which has seen my sit largely in the bottom half or worse for several seasons now!



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Tennis legend

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JonH comes home wrote:
the addict wrote:

"presumably my predictions are more out there compared to the current ? "

Just a bit different ! Not many points for the WR and a few outsiders who score hardle any GB ranking points


 Am I alone in not bothering about working out at this point what my predictions might score? I just predict and see where it lands at season end - a strategy which has seen my sit largely in the bottom half or worse for several seasons now!


Well no, since no doubt everyone is aware that it is the end of the year that matters.

Personally, I don't work it out at the start and just await TA's starting table, plus while I will look out of interest it really doesn't matter with the whole point clearly being to get as close as possible at the end. So no doubt that's all folk's 'strategy' is about barring of course Bagel with his being based on the starting rankings minus 10%.

I guess if anyone was clear last at the start they are needing that bit more churn over the year from what happened last year. Ultimately no ranking points earned last year matter as counting for this year, but do serve, I suggest fairly relevantly, as showing the most recent year order of things - and as such perhaps a starting point for some to then consider who they think will rise and fall eg. if A was ahead of B, looking at each why should B this year be ahead of A, if C was comfortably in the top 10 last year why might they drop out in the coming year.

Take such things into account, folk, and you too can finish 2nd bottom as I did for 2025.



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Strong Club Player

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This is likely too late so please ignore if so. Ive not had access for a few weeks so this was my first opportunity. I know it takes time to do all the admin so Ill just do this for my own fun if nothing else!

 

1. Draper - 16

2. Fearnley - 52

3. Norrie - 54

4. Fery - 87

5. Pinnington-Jones - 134

6. Choinski - 163

7. Monday - 166

8. Broady - 177

9. Peniston - 183

10. Harris - 223



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Strong Club Player

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Sub is Searle - 166.

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Tennis legend

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It's OK Doonan. I am still on hols in Spain (rained in at the hotel in Malaga) so haven't finalised everything yet. Hope to finish on Wednesday after I get back.

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Tennis legend

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Draper 15
Norrie 31
Fearnley 45
Harris 106
Fery 127
Choinski 145
Loffhagen 167
Broady 185
Clarke 215
JPJ 220

Reserve

Evans 94



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